Buffalo
W-L: ( 3-28) PR = 91.6098Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 39-53 1109 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 47-81 1112 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 55-73 1116 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-59 1119 H St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 57-64 1127 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 64-68 1129 H Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 56-58 1203 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 77-51 1206 H Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 58-71 1219 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 65-70 1220 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 48-72 1231 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 46-79 103 H We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-83 107 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 58-64 110 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 59-71 114 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 61-** 114 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 61-** 117 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 67-79 121 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 52-76 124 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 74-84 128 H Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 51-71 131 H Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 72-76 204 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 59-90 207 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 64-73 210 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 61-72 218 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 55-88 221 H Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 63-73 225 H We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 43-58 228 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 69-66 304 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 53-56 307 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 55-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Marshall 39-53 -14 -3 0.00
1109 H Kentucky 47-81 -34 -6 0.00
1112 H Vermont 55-73 -18 -3 0.00
1116 A Fordham 67-59 8 -1 + 3.22
1119 H St. Bonnies 57-64 -7 -2 0.00
1127 H Longwood 64-68 -4 -2 -0.09
1129 H Hampton 56-58 -2 0 -1.56
1203 A Niagara 77-51 26 2 0.17
1206 H Binghamton 58-71 -13 -2 0.00
1219 H Tarleton St 65-70 -5 -2 -0.37
1220 H Abilene Chr 48-72 -24 -3 0.00
1231 H Toledo 46-79 -33 -2 0.00
103 H We Michigan 65-83 -18 -1 -0.78
107 H No Illinois 58-64 -6 -1 -1.29
110 H Ohio 59-71 -12 -2 0.00
114 H Ball St 61-** -42 -4 0.00
114 H Ball St 61-** -42 -4 0.00
117 H Mass 67-79 -12 -3 0.00
121 H Miami (OH) 52-76 -24 -4 0.00
124 H Kent State 74-84 -10 -2 0.00
128 H Ea Michigan 51-71 -20 -2 -0.16
131 H Akron 72-76 -4 -1 -1.24
204 H Ce Michigan 59-90 -31 -3 0.00
207 H LA-Monroe 64-73 -9 -2 0.00
210 H Bowling Grn 61-72 -11 -2 0.00
218 H Ball St 55-88 -33 -4 0.00
221 H Ea Michigan 63-73 -10 -2 -0.16
225 H We Michigan 43-58 -15 -1 -0.78
228 A Toledo 69-66 3 -2 ++ 4.00
304 H No Illinois 53-56 -3 -1 -1.29
307 H Mass 55-73 -18 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Toledo 69-66 3 -2 ++ 4.00 1116 A Fordham 67-59 8 -1 + 3.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 39-53 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.35
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 47-81 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 0.98 -1.28
3 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 55-73 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 0.98 -2.55
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-59 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.98 7.61
3 H St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 57-64 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 0.98 -3.01
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 64-68 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 H Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 56-58 -7.84 3.12 -0.01 0.98 -3.84
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 77-51 -10.13 1.00 0.01 0.98 1.98
3 H Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 58-71 -6.12 4.84 -0.01 0.98 -3.00
3 H Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 65-70 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 0.98 -3.26
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 48-72 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 0.98 -2.77
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 46-79 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.98 -2.92
3 H We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-83 -7.06 3.90 -0.01 0.98 -3.46
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 58-64 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 0.98 -3.71
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 59-71 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 0.98 -2.90
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 61-** -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 61-** -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 67-79 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.98 -2.48
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 52-76 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.98 -2.21
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 74-84 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 0.98 -2.91
3 H Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 51-71 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.98 -3.16
3 H Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 72-76 -7.52 3.44 -0.01 0.98 -3.69
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 59-90 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 64-73 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 0.98 -2.90
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 61-72 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.98 -2.97
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 55-88 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 H Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 63-73 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.98 -3.16
3 H We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 43-58 -7.06 3.90 -0.01 0.98 -3.46
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 69-66 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.98 9.82
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 53-56 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 0.98 -3.71
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 55-73 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.98 -2.48
------
-61.64
|
winning pts = 19.4083 losing points = -81.0452
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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